Final stats of 2 teams I faced this week 6.50 era..... 239 BA
So my teams go 3-3 and go ..what the ....?
and look back on games trying to figure out whats the deal.
I had not spectacular but solid pitching performances from all pitchers other
than Hamels
IP/WHIP/Earned runs
Lincecum 9 / 7 / 1
J Johnson 6 / 9 /3
Oswalt 6 / 9 / 1
Hamels 4.2/ 10/ 4
Kazmir 5 / 5 / 2
So what happens?
Game One... Hamels starts?.. so im figuring ok maybe I lose this one as he got
lit up. Hmm.. but its still bottom of 8th inning and Hamels is still in
pitching ahead 3-2 and now all my better gloves in IROD, Matusi come in for
defensive purposes. Time for my closer Mike Gonzalez to come in. He pitched 3
innings this week in real baseball striking out six and not allowing a hit or
walk...But huh??? here comes Chris Perez my # 2 guy out of pen vs RHP. Denys
Reyes is # 2 vs LHP...OK.. Its Closing time right? Where the bonk is Mike
Gonzalez? Not Chris Perez. So what happens in top of ninth in closing
situation non-closer comes in and give up 2 runs. And then. but not until then,
in comes Gonzalez with two outs in top of ninth to get final out (1/3rd inning)
after Perez blew lead. Well that bites in Game One.
Game Two ..Josh Johnson starts. This game Mike Gonzalez does come in th 8th
inning to hold opponents scorelsss in 8th and 9th innings to win 3-2. 1 and 1
so far.
Game Three.. Lincecum starts. W 3-0 nine inning shutout.. No clsoe comes in.. 2
and 1 so far.
Game 4 Hamels again? He only pitched 4.2 inning in real baseball, is not my #
1 listed pitcher, plus he has already pitched 8 2/3rds in game # 1. H did pitch
twice the previous week though pitching 14 innings ang only giving up 4 total
earned runs. But Josh Johnson alos pitched twice previous week and is listed
higher in rotation. Johnson gave up 4 runs in 16 innings in two starts. But
what the hey? Its top of 7th and Hamels already given up 6 runs and he give up
3 mor making it nine bebleeping runs. Where my RPers and how has Hamels givenup
mor u runs in this one game that he gave up in three games of 18.2 IP over past
3 weeks. Especially considering team Opponents as per Scoresheet hit .239. But
now whats this ? In bottom of 7th here comes my closer ?? and we are down 9-6.
Why is my closer coming into this game?
He pitches 1/3rd of inning and gets his out and get pinch hit for.
Ok, here comes Felipe Paulino (now down 9-7) who pitched fantastically in real
baseball giving up one run and three hits in 7 innings this w past week. Imagien
my surprise (and anothe hair lost) when my .239 batting average opponents
immediately score three runs off Paulino.
But what it continues my 6.52 Era opponents pitcher now use a AAA pitcher, but
in bottom of eight my team does down 1-2-3 and AAA guy pitch another scoreless
ninth. So now its 2 and 2 for week.
Game 5..Scott Kazmir (back finally with 5 2 er in 5 ip). But Gives up 3 runs by
middle of fifth inning to .239 hitting opponents coming out with bases loaded
only for Leo Nunez to get lit up for four runs. Probably reaqlsitic in that
Nunez gave up 3 earned runs in one Inning in real basball (Stinks but that is
what is was) . So what . Why is Mike Gonzalez pitchign in 7th inning again in a
non closer situation? behidn 7-1. Sigh. This time Paulino comess in meaningless
game and gets two innings of six-up-six-down after givng up e 3 runs in previous
game. Now Down 2-3 vs .239 hitting adn 6.50 era pitching opponents
Final Game Roy Oswalt (Roy is back). vs Bronson Arroyo 7=1 win vs a team with
AA catcher, AAS 1B and AA pitchgin for 4 innings.
Lessons learned about readjusting sp and closer hooks. Still a most frustrating
week. We all have them from time to time
However, Lincecum and Roy Oswalt have started this weeks games on Monday with a
nine inning shutout and one earnd run complete games
Carl
what league is this, Carl? Would like to look at your results.
Tom
--- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "Carl" <togatx@...> wrote:
>
> Final stats of 2 teams I faced this week 6.50 era..... 239 BA
>
> So my teams go 3-3 and go ..what the ....?
> and look back on games trying to figure out whats the deal.
>
> I had not spectacular but solid pitching performances from all pitchers other
than Hamels
> IP/WHIP/Earned runs
> Lincecum 9 / 7 / 1
> J Johnson 6 / 9 /3
> Oswalt 6 / 9 / 1
> Hamels 4.2/ 10/ 4
> Kazmir 5 / 5 / 2
>
> So what happens?
> Game One... Hamels starts?.. so im figuring ok maybe I lose this one as he got
lit up. Hmm.. but its still bottom of 8th inning and Hamels is still in
pitching ahead 3-2 and now all my better gloves in IROD, Matusi come in for
defensive purposes. Time for my closer Mike Gonzalez to come in. He pitched 3
innings this week in real baseball striking out six and not allowing a hit or
walk...But huh??? here comes Chris Perez my # 2 guy out of pen vs RHP. Denys
Reyes is # 2 vs LHP...OK.. Its Closing time right? Where the bonk is Mike
Gonzalez? Not Chris Perez. So what happens in top of ninth in closing
situation non-closer comes in and give up 2 runs. And then. but not until then,
in comes Gonzalez with two outs in top of ninth to get final out (1/3rd inning)
after Perez blew lead. Well that bites in Game One.
>
> Game Two ..Josh Johnson starts. This game Mike Gonzalez does come in th 8th
inning to hold opponents scorelsss in 8th and 9th innings to win 3-2. 1 and 1
so far.
>
> Game Three.. Lincecum starts. W 3-0 nine inning shutout.. No clsoe comes in..
2 and 1 so far.
>
> Game 4 Hamels again? He only pitched 4.2 inning in real baseball, is not my
# 1 listed pitcher, plus he has already pitched 8 2/3rds in game # 1. H did
pitch twice the previous week though pitching 14 innings ang only giving up 4
total earned runs. But Josh Johnson alos pitched twice previous week and is
listed higher in rotation. Johnson gave up 4 runs in 16 innings in two starts.
But what the hey? Its top of 7th and Hamels already given up 6 runs and he
give up 3 mor making it nine bebleeping runs. Where my RPers and how has Hamels
givenup mor u runs in this one game that he gave up in three games of 18.2 IP
over past 3 weeks. Especially considering team Opponents as per Scoresheet hit
.239. But now whats this ? In bottom of 7th here comes my closer ?? and we are
down 9-6. Why is my closer coming into this game?
> He pitches 1/3rd of inning and gets his out and get pinch hit for.
>
> Ok, here comes Felipe Paulino (now down 9-7) who pitched fantastically in real
baseball giving up one run and three hits in 7 innings this w past week. Imagien
my surprise (and anothe hair lost) when my .239 batting average opponents
immediately score three runs off Paulino.
> But what it continues my 6.52 Era opponents pitcher now use a AAA pitcher, but
in bottom of eight my team does down 1-2-3 and AAA guy pitch another scoreless
ninth. So now its 2 and 2 for week.
>
> Game 5..Scott Kazmir (back finally with 5 2 er in 5 ip). But Gives up 3 runs
by middle of fifth inning to .239 hitting opponents coming out with bases loaded
only for Leo Nunez to get lit up for four runs. Probably reaqlsitic in that
Nunez gave up 3 earned runs in one Inning in real basball (Stinks but that is
what is was) . So what . Why is Mike Gonzalez pitchign in 7th inning again in a
non closer situation? behidn 7-1. Sigh. This time Paulino comess in meaningless
game and gets two innings of six-up-six-down after givng up e 3 runs in previous
game. Now Down 2-3 vs .239 hitting adn 6.50 era pitching opponents
>
> Final Game Roy Oswalt (Roy is back). vs Bronson Arroyo 7=1 win vs a team with
AA catcher, AAS 1B and AA pitchgin for 4 innings.
>
> Lessons learned about readjusting sp and closer hooks. Still a most
frustrating week. We all have them from time to time
>
> However, Lincecum and Roy Oswalt have started this weeks games on Monday with
a nine inning shutout and one earnd run complete games
> Carl
>
--- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "Tom Hanrahan" <Han60Man@...> wrote:
NL 322 Maybe I am missing something in my settings but I dont understand how a
guy like Paulino can give up 3 runs in one game in which he pithed one inning
in Scoresheet when he pitched one 7 inning game and gave up only 3 hits and 1
earned run in real baseball especially when the opponents hit .239 for the week.
Perhaps you can offer me some insight on this team regarding a better lineup or
better use of hook #s based on the team makeup and your experiences that would
maximize the results of this team in games in Scoresheet
Thanks Carl
>
> what league is this, Carl? Would like to look at your results.
>
> Tom
>
> --- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "Carl" <togatx@> wrote:
> >
> > Final stats of 2 teams I faced this week 6.50 era..... 239 BA
> >
> > So my teams go 3-3 and go ..what the ....?
> > and look back on games trying to figure out whats the deal.
> >
> > I had not spectacular but solid pitching performances from all pitchers
other than Hamels
> > IP/WHIP/Earned runs
> > Lincecum 9 / 7 / 1
> > J Johnson 6 / 9 /3
> > Oswalt 6 / 9 / 1
> > Hamels 4.2/ 10/ 4
> > Kazmir 5 / 5 / 2
> >
> > So what happens?
> > Game One... Hamels starts?.. so im figuring ok maybe I lose this one as he
got lit up. Hmm.. but its still bottom of 8th inning and Hamels is still in
pitching ahead 3-2 and now all my better gloves in IROD, Matusi come in for
defensive purposes. Time for my closer Mike Gonzalez to come in. He pitched 3
innings this week in real baseball striking out six and not allowing a hit or
walk...But huh??? here comes Chris Perez my # 2 guy out of pen vs RHP. Denys
Reyes is # 2 vs LHP...OK.. Its Closing time right? Where the bonk is Mike
Gonzalez? Not Chris Perez. So what happens in top of ninth in closing
situation non-closer comes in and give up 2 runs. And then. but not until then,
in comes Gonzalez with two outs in top of ninth to get final out (1/3rd inning)
after Perez blew lead. Well that bites in Game One.
> >
> > Game Two ..Josh Johnson starts. This game Mike Gonzalez does come in th 8th
inning to hold opponents scorelsss in 8th and 9th innings to win 3-2. 1 and 1
so far.
> >
> > Game Three.. Lincecum starts. W 3-0 nine inning shutout.. No clsoe comes
in.. 2 and 1 so far.
> >
> > Game 4 Hamels again? He only pitched 4.2 inning in real baseball, is not
my # 1 listed pitcher, plus he has already pitched 8 2/3rds in game # 1. H did
pitch twice the previous week though pitching 14 innings ang only giving up 4
total earned runs. But Josh Johnson alos pitched twice previous week and is
listed higher in rotation. Johnson gave up 4 runs in 16 innings in two starts.
But what the hey? Its top of 7th and Hamels already given up 6 runs and he
give up 3 mor making it nine bebleeping runs. Where my RPers and how has Hamels
givenup mor u runs in this one game that he gave up in three games of 18.2 IP
over past 3 weeks. Especially considering team Opponents as per Scoresheet hit
.239. But now whats this ? In bottom of 7th here comes my closer ?? and we are
down 9-6. Why is my closer coming into this game?
> > He pitches 1/3rd of inning and gets his out and get pinch hit for.
> >
> > Ok, here comes Felipe Paulino (now down 9-7) who pitched fantastically in
real baseball giving up one run and three hits in 7 innings this w past week.
Imagien my surprise (and anothe hair lost) when my .239 batting average
opponents immediately score three runs off Paulino.
> > But what it continues my 6.52 Era opponents pitcher now use a AAA pitcher,
but in bottom of eight my team does down 1-2-3 and AAA guy pitch another
scoreless ninth. So now its 2 and 2 for week.
> >
> > Game 5..Scott Kazmir (back finally with 5 2 er in 5 ip). But Gives up 3
runs by middle of fifth inning to .239 hitting opponents coming out with bases
loaded only for Leo Nunez to get lit up for four runs. Probably reaqlsitic in
that Nunez gave up 3 earned runs in one Inning in real basball (Stinks but that
is what is was) . So what . Why is Mike Gonzalez pitchign in 7th inning again in
a non closer situation? behidn 7-1. Sigh. This time Paulino comess in
meaningless game and gets two innings of six-up-six-down after givng up e 3 runs
in previous game. Now Down 2-3 vs .239 hitting adn 6.50 era pitching opponents
> >
> > Final Game Roy Oswalt (Roy is back). vs Bronson Arroyo 7=1 win vs a team
with AA catcher, AAS 1B and AA pitchgin for 4 innings.
> >
> > Lessons learned about readjusting sp and closer hooks. Still a most
frustrating week. We all have them from time to time
> >
> > However, Lincecum and Roy Oswalt have started this weeks games on Monday
with a nine inning shutout and one earnd run complete games
> > Carl
> >
>
well Carl, since Paulino hadn't pitched in a few weeks prior, & you prob. had
him in back then or prior anyway?: I'd say it's a combined stat result. He's
been brutal other than that 1 outing?
Date IP ERA(on date)
Jun 27 7.0 5.51
Jun 7 1.2 6.18
--- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "Carl" <togatx@...> wrote:
NL 322 Maybe I am missing something in my settings but I dont understand how a
guy like Paulino can give up 3 runs in one game in which he pithed one inning
in Scoresheet when he pitched one 7 inning game and gave up only 3 hits and 1
earned run in real baseball especially when the opponents hit .239 for the week.
Perhaps you can offer me some insight on this team regarding a better lineup or
better use of hook #s based on the team makeup and your experiences that would
maximize the results of this team in games in Scoresheet
>
> Thanks Carl
mislabelled (sp?), that's really season ERA (on date)... oh & as long as I'm
dup. posting meant to start that by saying "well, Carl, my guess is... (etc)".
--- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "soxknation" <chaswiles@...> wrote:
>
>
>
> well Carl, since Paulino hadn't pitched in a few weeks prior, & you prob. had
him in back then or prior anyway?: I'd say it's a combined stat result. He's
been brutal other than that 1 outing?
>
>
> Date IP ERA(on date)
>
> Jun 27 7.0 5.51
> Jun 7 1.2 6.18
Yes I get he has been brutal but THIS Particular week Paulino ONLY only pitched
in real baseball as a starter in one 7 inning performance in which he gave up 3
hits, no walks, nine Ks and one earned run. I haven't checked but I think he got
into two game for me this past week in Scoresheet and pitched 3 innings gvign up
3 earned runs in th oen innign in th first game (comign as my # 5 guy out of
pen) I thought carryforward stats only came into play when a particular player
had unused innings from previous weeks and needed those. If I guy pitches 7
innings in real baseball in a week does the SIMM still use provious stats from
prior weeks?
So am I missing something? Because if the SIMM does go back and average previous
terribly pitching performances might as well bench a guy who started the season
horribly for the remainder of year and Never use him again..
--- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "soxknation" <chaswiles@...> wrote:
>
> mislabelled (sp?), that's really season ERA (on date)... oh & as long as I'm
dup. posting meant to start that by saying "well, Carl, my guess is... (etc)".
>
> --- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "soxknation" <chaswiles@> wrote:
> >
> >
> >
> > well Carl, since Paulino hadn't pitched in a few weeks prior, & you prob.
had him in back then or prior anyway?: I'd say it's a combined stat result. He's
been brutal other than that 1 outing?
> >
> >
> > Date IP ERA(on date)
> >
> > Jun 27 7.0 5.51
> > Jun 7 1.2 6.18
>
Given the recent run of complaints like these, I think the Bartons might find a
less testy market if they just dumped the sim and turned each week's outcomes
into a child's Collectible Card Game: a-ha, I trump your C.C. Sabathia
strikeout card with my Albert Pujols home run card. I win again!
--- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "Carl" <togatx@...> wrote:
>
>
> Yes I get he has been brutal but THIS Particular week Paulino ONLY only
pitched in real baseball as a starter in one 7 inning performance in which he
gave up 3 hits, no walks, nine Ks and one earned run. I haven't checked but I
think he got into two game for me this past week in Scoresheet and pitched 3
innings gvign up 3 earned runs in th oen innign in th first game (comign as my #
5 guy out of pen) I thought carryforward stats only came into play when a
particular player had unused innings from previous weeks and needed those. If I
guy pitches 7 innings in real baseball in a week does the SIMM still use
provious stats from prior weeks?
>
> So am I missing something? Because if the SIMM does go back and average
previous terribly pitching performances might as well bench a guy who started
the season horribly for the remainder of year and Never use him again..
>
> --- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "soxknation" <chaswiles@> wrote:
> >
> > mislabelled (sp?), that's really season ERA (on date)... oh & as long as I'm
dup. posting meant to start that by saying "well, Carl, my guess is... (etc)".
> >
> > --- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "soxknation" <chaswiles@> wrote:
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > well Carl, since Paulino hadn't pitched in a few weeks prior, & you prob.
had him in back then or prior anyway?: I'd say it's a combined stat result. He's
been brutal other than that 1 outing?
> > >
> > >
> > > Date IP ERA(on date)
> > >
> > > Jun 27 7.0 5.51
> > > Jun 7 1.2 6.18
> >
>
Well, they get complaints that the outcomes and too random and complaints that
the outcomes are not random enough. The more I read these complaints the more I
believe the sim stikes a reasonable balance.
--- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "bostonibis" <bostonibis@...> wrote:
>
> Given the recent run of complaints like these, I think the Bartons might find
a less testy market if they just dumped the sim and turned each week's outcomes
into a child's Collectible Card Game: a-ha, I trump your C.C. Sabathia
strikeout card with my Albert Pujols home run card. I win again!
>
>
> --- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "Carl" <togatx@> wrote:
> >
> >
> > Yes I get he has been brutal but THIS Particular week Paulino ONLY only
pitched in real baseball as a starter in one 7 inning performance in which he
gave up 3 hits, no walks, nine Ks and one earned run. I haven't checked but I
think he got into two game for me this past week in Scoresheet and pitched 3
innings gvign up 3 earned runs in th oen innign in th first game (comign as my #
5 guy out of pen) I thought carryforward stats only came into play when a
particular player had unused innings from previous weeks and needed those. If I
guy pitches 7 innings in real baseball in a week does the SIMM still use
provious stats from prior weeks?
> >
> > So am I missing something? Because if the SIMM does go back and average
previous terribly pitching performances might as well bench a guy who started
the season horribly for the remainder of year and Never use him again..
> >
> > --- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "soxknation" <chaswiles@> wrote:
> > >
> > > mislabelled (sp?), that's really season ERA (on date)... oh & as long as
I'm dup. posting meant to start that by saying "well, Carl, my guess is...
(etc)".
> > >
> > > --- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "soxknation" <chaswiles@> wrote:
> > > >
> > > >
> > > >
> > > > well Carl, since Paulino hadn't pitched in a few weeks prior, & you
prob. had him in back then or prior anyway?: I'd say it's a combined stat
result. He's been brutal other than that 1 outing?
> > > >
> > > >
> > > > Date IP ERA(on date)
> > > >
> > > > Jun 27 7.0 5.51
> > > > Jun 7 1.2 6.18
> > >
> >
>
I agree. I also think people tend to forget that performance in the
sim isn't just based on what your guy did in real life... it's also
based on what the guys he's facing in Scoresheet did in real life. So
Joe Pitcher pitched 8 innings IRL and only gave up one run while
striking out 9 and walking 1. That's great. But if he was facing the
Nationals IRL, and facing a lineup of hot hitters in Scoresheet, he's
not necessarily going to get the same results.
I mean, let's think about it... If he did... if Joe Pitcher performed
in Scoresheet the same as he did against a weak-hitting real-life
team, wouldn't that just mean the sim was broken in the other
direction? As the owner of the team with the hot-hitting lineup, I
could then turn around and complain, "Hey! My guys as a lineup had a .
400/.550/.800 line for the week, and we were all but shut down by Joe
Pitcher! What gives?!?"
There are just going to be times when a good performance IRL doesn't
end up as good in Scoresheet, all because of the way the matchups
break down...
- Derek
On Jul 6, 2009, at 11:26 AM, garthhewitt wrote:
> Well, they get complaints that the outcomes and too random and
> complaints that the outcomes are not random enough. The more I read
> these complaints the more I believe the sim stikes a reasonable
> balance.
Who a pitcher faced in real life and the park they pitched in is totally
irrelevant.
The simulator treats a game in PETCO Park against the Nationals exactly the same
as it treats a game against the Phillies in Citizens Bank Park.
Your post indicates that you believe that the simulator takes into account the
quality of competition a pitcher had in real life. It doesn't.
--- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, Derek Hiemforth <derek@...> wrote:
>
> I agree. I also think people tend to forget that performance in the
> sim isn't just based on what your guy did in real life... it's also
> based on what the guys he's facing in Scoresheet did in real life. So
> Joe Pitcher pitched 8 innings IRL and only gave up one run while
> striking out 9 and walking 1. That's great. But if he was facing the
> Nationals IRL, and facing a lineup of hot hitters in Scoresheet, he's
> not necessarily going to get the same results.
>
> I mean, let's think about it... If he did... if Joe Pitcher performed
> in Scoresheet the same as he did against a weak-hitting real-life
> team, wouldn't that just mean the sim was broken in the other
> direction? As the owner of the team with the hot-hitting lineup, I
> could then turn around and complain, "Hey! My guys as a lineup had a .
> 400/.550/.800 line for the week, and we were all but shut down by Joe
> Pitcher! What gives?!?"
>
> There are just going to be times when a good performance IRL doesn't
> end up as good in Scoresheet, all because of the way the matchups
> break down...
>
> - Derek
>
>
> On Jul 6, 2009, at 11:26 AM, garthhewitt wrote:
>
> > Well, they get complaints that the outcomes and too random and
> > complaints that the outcomes are not random enough. The more I read
> > these complaints the more I believe the sim stikes a reasonable
> > balance.
>
So you're telling me that if Tim Lincecum pitches a shutout against
the Nationals, then he's equally likely to pitch a shutout against the
toughest lineup in my Scoresheet BL league? And if that's not what
you're telling me, then you misunderstood my post.
- Derek
On Jul 8, 2009, at 10:32 AM, kwarrenca wrote:
> Who a pitcher faced in real life and the park they pitched in is
> totally irrelevant.
>
> The simulator treats a game in PETCO Park against the Nationals
> exactly the same as it treats a game against the Phillies in
> Citizens Bank Park.
>
> Your post indicates that you believe that the simulator takes into
> account the quality of competition a pitcher had in real life. It
> doesn't.
Well, the Nationals' offense isn't actually that bad, so your examle isn't
the best. But the sim does NOT compensate for quality of competition or for
the place where the stats were accrued when calculating your team's
results. If he pitches a shutout in Coors Field, or Yankees Stadium,
against a great offense, it will be treated just the same as if he shut out
the Padres in Petco, and the ONLY adjustment to those numbers will be based
on the quality of his Scoresheet opponent.
On Wed, Jul 8, 2009 at 3:45 PM, Derek Hiemforth <derek@...>wrote:
>
>
> So you're telling me that if Tim Lincecum pitches a shutout against
> the Nationals, then he's equally likely to pitch a shutout against the
> toughest lineup in my Scoresheet BL league? And if that's not what
> you're telling me, then you misunderstood my post.
>
> - Derek
>
> On Jul 8, 2009, at 10:32 AM, kwarrenca wrote:
>
> > Who a pitcher faced in real life and the park they pitched in is
> > totally irrelevant.
> >
> > The simulator treats a game in PETCO Park against the Nationals
> > exactly the same as it treats a game against the Phillies in
> > Citizens Bank Park.
> >
> > Your post indicates that you believe that the simulator takes into
> > account the quality of competition a pitcher had in real life. It
> > doesn't.
>
>
[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]
Not quite, but close. The strength of the real life lineup faced by a
pitcher is irrelevent for scoresheet purposes. That having been said, Timmy
goes 9 against the Nationals and gives up 3 hits and 1 run, the best lineup
in scoresheet is likely to fare better. That's the All-Star effect at
work. It just doesn't matter who Timmy put his line up against.
On Wed, Jul 8, 2009 at 3:45 PM, Derek Hiemforth <derek@...>wrote:
>
>
> So you're telling me that if Tim Lincecum pitches a shutout against
> the Nationals, then he's equally likely to pitch a shutout against the
> toughest lineup in my Scoresheet BL league? And if that's not what
> you're telling me, then you misunderstood my post.
>
> - Derek
>
> On Jul 8, 2009, at 10:32 AM, kwarrenca wrote:
>
> > Who a pitcher faced in real life and the park they pitched in is
> > totally irrelevant.
> >
> > The simulator treats a game in PETCO Park against the Nationals
> > exactly the same as it treats a game against the Phillies in
> > Citizens Bank Park.
> >
> > Your post indicates that you believe that the simulator takes into
> > account the quality of competition a pitcher had in real life. It
> > doesn't.
>
>
[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]
On Jul 8, 2009, at 12:57 PM, Paul Finkelstein wrote:
> Not quite, but close. The strength of the real life lineup faced by a
> pitcher is irrelevent for scoresheet purposes.
But it's not irrelevant for real-life purposes. How well a pitcher
fares in Scoresheet is going to be based on:
1. His pitching results that week (raw results, not adjusted for
caliber of opposition, run environment, etc.)
2. The batting results of his SS opposition that week.
True, the sim doesn't discount his pitching results in any way based
on who he faced. I didn't say it does. The point is simply that --
in real-world terms -- it will be easier for him to rack up good
pitching results to feed into SS if he's facing a weak offense in real
life that week.
"So Joe Pitcher pitched 8 innings IRL and only gave up one run while
striking out 9 and walking 1. That's great. But if he was facing the
Nationals IRL, and facing a lineup of hot hitters in Scoresheet, he's
not necessarily going to get the same results."
"if Joe Pitcher performed in Scoresheet the same as he did against a
weak-hitting real-life team, wouldn't that just mean the sim was broken in the
other direction?"
You seem to be inferring that the quality of a pitcher's major league opposition
has something to do with how he will do in his Scoresheet game. I think people
should understand that this is not the case.
Joe Pitcher will pitch against an average Scoresheet team exactly as he did
against a weak-hitting real-life team.
It's totally irrelevant who Lincecum pitched his real life shutout against. He
could have pitched a shutout against a bunch of minor league call-ups in PETCO
Park or he could have pitched a shutout against the Phillies in Citizen Bank
Park. His Scoresheet performance will be the same in either circumstance.
The simulator is not even aware of who Lincecum faced in real life. The quality
of his major league opposition plays no role whatsoever in what he can be
expected to do in Scoresheet.
"He is equally likely to pitch a shutout against the toughest lineup in your
Scoresheet league", regardless of whom he shutout in real life.
--- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, Derek Hiemforth <derek@...> wrote:
>
> So you're telling me that if Tim Lincecum pitches a shutout against
> the Nationals, then he's equally likely to pitch a shutout against the
> toughest lineup in my Scoresheet BL league? And if that's not what
> you're telling me, then you misunderstood my post.
>
> - Derek
>
>
> On Jul 8, 2009, at 10:32 AM, kwarrenca wrote:
>
> > Who a pitcher faced in real life and the park they pitched in is
> > totally irrelevant.
> >
> > The simulator treats a game in PETCO Park against the Nationals
> > exactly the same as it treats a game against the Phillies in
> > Citizens Bank Park.
> >
> > Your post indicates that you believe that the simulator takes into
> > account the quality of competition a pitcher had in real life. It
> > doesn't.
>
I think I was muddling the issue by mentioning who he faced in real
life. It isn't really relevant (and I knew it didn't affect the
sim)... I guess I was just mentioning it to illustrate my point that
real-life teams' lineups are weaker overall than Scoresheet teams'
lineups are.
We're really comparing apples and oranges. You're noting (correctly,
of course) that regardless of whether he shutout the Phillies or the
Padres in real life, either was equally likely to net him a shutout in
Scoresheet. My point was just that he's less likely to throw a
shutout in Scoresheet than he is to throw a shutout in real life.
- Derek
On Jul 8, 2009, at 2:32 PM, kwarrenca wrote:
> you wrote:
>
> "So Joe Pitcher pitched 8 innings IRL and only gave up one run while
> striking out 9 and walking 1. That's great. But if he was facing the
> Nationals IRL, and facing a lineup of hot hitters in Scoresheet, he's
> not necessarily going to get the same results."
>
> "if Joe Pitcher performed in Scoresheet the same as he did against a
> weak-hitting real-life team, wouldn't that just mean the sim was
> broken in the other direction?"
>
>
> You seem to be inferring that the quality of a pitcher's major
> league opposition has something to do with how he will do in his
> Scoresheet game. I think people should understand that this is not
> the case.
>
> Joe Pitcher will pitch against an average Scoresheet team exactly as
> he did against a weak-hitting real-life team.
>
> It's totally irrelevant who Lincecum pitched his real life shutout
> against. He could have pitched a shutout against a bunch of minor
> league call-ups in PETCO Park or he could have pitched a shutout
> against the Phillies in Citizen Bank Park. His Scoresheet
> performance will be the same in either circumstance.
>
> The simulator is not even aware of who Lincecum faced in real life.
> The quality of his major league opposition plays no role whatsoever
> in what he can be expected to do in Scoresheet.
>
> "He is equally likely to pitch a shutout against the toughest lineup
> in your Scoresheet league", regardless of whom he shutout in real
> life.
>
>
>
>
>
>
> --- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, Derek Hiemforth <derek@...>
> wrote:
>>
>> So you're telling me that if Tim Lincecum pitches a shutout against
>> the Nationals, then he's equally likely to pitch a shutout against
>> the
>> toughest lineup in my Scoresheet BL league? And if that's not what
>> you're telling me, then you misunderstood my post.
>>
>> - Derek
>>
>>
>> On Jul 8, 2009, at 10:32 AM, kwarrenca wrote:
>>
>>> Who a pitcher faced in real life and the park they pitched in is
>>> totally irrelevant.
>>>
>>> The simulator treats a game in PETCO Park against the Nationals
>>> exactly the same as it treats a game against the Phillies in
>>> Citizens Bank Park.
>>>
>>> Your post indicates that you believe that the simulator takes into
>>> account the quality of competition a pitcher had in real life. It
>>> doesn't.
>>
>
>
>
>
> ------------------------------------
>
> List owners: brian@..., grum@..., phfinkelstein@...
> Yahoo! Groups Links
>
>
>
From Carl (origianl poster)
I think my original post got lost in the various translations. Derek and otehrs
have made some very astute observations though.
What I was trying to ask, in general, does it really make any material
difference in Scoresheet game to match pitchers up or are we better off to leave
that up to the way the SIMM matches pitchers up week to week.?
On the surface, it makes sense that it would should make a difference. However,
the BA/OBA/Slugging adjustments made when leftys face LH batters seems much
greater than when Rightys face RH batters, so I tend to look for matchups when
the other team's best hitters are leftys and don't think the adjustments are
materially enough to do RH pitcher vs RH hitters matchups unless I am playing a
powerful team (even if they are loaded with predominantly RH hitters) whom I
want someone like Lincecum to start against.
If I'm playing a weaker team, I will typically use my 4th and 5th best starters.
That, in itself, may be why I seem to lose more games against teams that I think
my team should roll over.
So the question is?? If you DO NOT use any pitcher ..Prefer to Face teams..how
does the SIMM determine which specific pitcher would pitch vs Team A and which
pitcher would pitch vs Team B? Does it start each week with pitcher # 1 and
then to go # 2 and then # 3 and so forth? If so, would anything be effected
(either positively or negatively) by changing the order of your pitching
rotation each week, say moving your # 1 (say Lincecum as an example) one week,
to # 3 another week, and then back to # 1 another?
Since I suppose teams can look at other team's starting rotation orders, they
can try to match up specific pitcher vs specific pitcher matchups to their
advantage by not matching their best pitcher up as # 1 (maybe using their worst)
when Lincecum starts. Maybe their best pitcher is slotted as # 2 or # 3 so they
dont have to matchup vs Lincecum and just write that one game off by using their
worst pitcher in the # 1 slot.
But if the SIMM doesn't follow any particular order of starters when playing out
games, then that would not have any bearing. If it does, then I think it would.
Wouldn't it? Anyone have any thoughts?
And in a typical 6 game week, if three pitchers get two starts in Real Baseball,
if you DO NOT use pitching matchup preference, how does the Scoresheet SIMM
decide which of those 3 pitchers gets that 6th game in Scoresheet game?
Carl
;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
"kwarrenca" <kenwarren77@...> wrote:
>
> you wrote:
>
> "So Joe Pitcher pitched 8 innings IRL and only gave up one run while
> striking out 9 and walking 1. That's great. But if he was facing the
> Nationals IRL, and facing a lineup of hot hitters in Scoresheet, he's
> not necessarily going to get the same results."
>
> "if Joe Pitcher performed in Scoresheet the same as he did against a
weak-hitting real-life team, wouldn't that just mean the sim was broken in the
other direction?"
>
>
> You seem to be inferring that the quality of a pitcher's major league
opposition has something to do with how he will do in his Scoresheet game. I
think people should understand that this is not the case.
>
> Joe Pitcher will pitch against an average Scoresheet team exactly as he did
against a weak-hitting real-life team.
>
> It's totally irrelevant who Lincecum pitched his real life shutout against.
He could have pitched a shutout against a bunch of minor league call-ups in
PETCO Park or he could have pitched a shutout against the Phillies in Citizen
Bank Park. His Scoresheet performance will be the same in either circumstance.
>
> The simulator is not even aware of who Lincecum faced in real life. The
quality of his major league opposition plays no role whatsoever in what he can
be expected to do in Scoresheet.
>
> "He is equally likely to pitch a shutout against the toughest lineup in your
Scoresheet league", regardless of whom he shutout in real life.
>
>
>
>
>
>
> --- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, Derek Hiemforth <derek@> wrote:
> >
> > So you're telling me that if Tim Lincecum pitches a shutout against
> > the Nationals, then he's equally likely to pitch a shutout against the
> > toughest lineup in my Scoresheet BL league? And if that's not what
> > you're telling me, then you misunderstood my post.
> >
> > - Derek
> >
> >
> > On Jul 8, 2009, at 10:32 AM, kwarrenca wrote:
> >
> > > Who a pitcher faced in real life and the park they pitched in is
> > > totally irrelevant.
> > >
> > > The simulator treats a game in PETCO Park against the Nationals
> > > exactly the same as it treats a game against the Phillies in
> > > Citizens Bank Park.
> > >
> > > Your post indicates that you believe that the simulator takes into
> > > account the quality of competition a pitcher had in real life. It
> > > doesn't.
> >
>
The order you list your starters determines who gets any extra starts. So #1
will get the extra start if he has extra start available. If not #2 will get and
so on.
The order you list your starters has no bearing on the order they will appear in
a given week. Your #1 may get the 4th game of the week for instance.
For matchups, think about it like this. You face two teams and for simplicity
sake lets say one has a huge offensive week and the other has a poor hitting
week. Don't you think the sim will try and match up your starting pitchers who
got hit harder against the lineup that hit well? and vice versa, any of your
pitchers who threw great games will get to face the opposition with the weak
hitting. The sim can't make everything work out as well as it does in general
without some kind of manipulation. It's not random.
--- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "Carl" <togatx@...> wrote:
>
> From Carl (origianl poster)
> I think my original post got lost in the various translations. Derek and
otehrs have made some very astute observations though.
>
> What I was trying to ask, in general, does it really make any material
difference in Scoresheet game to match pitchers up or are we better off to leave
that up to the way the SIMM matches pitchers up week to week.?
>
> On the surface, it makes sense that it would should make a difference.
However, the BA/OBA/Slugging adjustments made when leftys face LH batters seems
much greater than when Rightys face RH batters, so I tend to look for matchups
when the other team's best hitters are leftys and don't think the adjustments
are materially enough to do RH pitcher vs RH hitters matchups unless I am
playing a powerful team (even if they are loaded with predominantly RH hitters)
whom I want someone like Lincecum to start against.
>
> If I'm playing a weaker team, I will typically use my 4th and 5th best
starters. That, in itself, may be why I seem to lose more games against teams
that I think my team should roll over.
>
> So the question is?? If you DO NOT use any pitcher ..Prefer to Face
teams..how does the SIMM determine which specific pitcher would pitch vs Team A
and which pitcher would pitch vs Team B? Does it start each week with pitcher #
1 and then to go # 2 and then # 3 and so forth? If so, would anything be
effected (either positively or negatively) by changing the order of your
pitching rotation each week, say moving your # 1 (say Lincecum as an example)
one week, to # 3 another week, and then back to # 1 another?
>
> Since I suppose teams can look at other team's starting rotation orders, they
can try to match up specific pitcher vs specific pitcher matchups to their
advantage by not matching their best pitcher up as # 1 (maybe using their worst)
when Lincecum starts. Maybe their best pitcher is slotted as # 2 or # 3 so they
dont have to matchup vs Lincecum and just write that one game off by using their
worst pitcher in the # 1 slot.
>
> But if the SIMM doesn't follow any particular order of starters when playing
out games, then that would not have any bearing. If it does, then I think it
would. Wouldn't it? Anyone have any thoughts?
>
> And in a typical 6 game week, if three pitchers get two starts in Real
Baseball, if you DO NOT use pitching matchup preference, how does the Scoresheet
SIMM decide which of those 3 pitchers gets that 6th game in Scoresheet game?
>
> Carl
No no. Some of this is very wrong. The sim does not match bad pitching with
good opponents. It is randomish with adjustment for prefer-to-face and not
allowing the same SP to go more than once against the same opponent.
Moreover, matching bad pitching to good hitting would accomplish absolutely
nothing toward matching stats. This is something Jeff and Dave have explained
countless times on this list.
A pitcher who allowed double the league's batting average will allow about
double the batting average of every hitter he faces; a .200 hitter will hit .400
and a .400 hitter will hit .800. Matching him to good hitting would in no way
help achieve the targets.
I am always so curious about where these assumptions come from. Did you think
you heard someplace that pitching assignments are manipulated to aid
stat-matching, or did you make that up on your own somehow? We should try to be
careful about stating assumptions as statements. There is always a lot of
confusion around how pitching is reconciled with hitting.
--- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "bluechip_10" <bluechip_10@...> wrote:
>
> Couple of points...
>
> The order you list your starters determines who gets any extra starts. So #1
will get the extra start if he has extra start available. If not #2 will get and
so on.
>
> The order you list your starters has no bearing on the order they will appear
in a given week. Your #1 may get the 4th game of the week for instance.
>
> For matchups, think about it like this. You face two teams and for simplicity
sake lets say one has a huge offensive week and the other has a poor hitting
week. Don't you think the sim will try and match up your starting pitchers who
got hit harder against the lineup that hit well? and vice versa, any of your
pitchers who threw great games will get to face the opposition with the weak
hitting. The sim can't make everything work out as well as it does in general
without some kind of manipulation. It's not random.
>
>
>
> --- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "Carl" <togatx@> wrote:
> >
> > From Carl (origianl poster)
> > I think my original post got lost in the various translations. Derek and
otehrs have made some very astute observations though.
> >
> > What I was trying to ask, in general, does it really make any material
difference in Scoresheet game to match pitchers up or are we better off to leave
that up to the way the SIMM matches pitchers up week to week.?
> >
> > On the surface, it makes sense that it would should make a difference.
However, the BA/OBA/Slugging adjustments made when leftys face LH batters seems
much greater than when Rightys face RH batters, so I tend to look for matchups
when the other team's best hitters are leftys and don't think the adjustments
are materially enough to do RH pitcher vs RH hitters matchups unless I am
playing a powerful team (even if they are loaded with predominantly RH hitters)
whom I want someone like Lincecum to start against.
> >
> > If I'm playing a weaker team, I will typically use my 4th and 5th best
starters. That, in itself, may be why I seem to lose more games against teams
that I think my team should roll over.
> >
> > So the question is?? If you DO NOT use any pitcher ..Prefer to Face
teams..how does the SIMM determine which specific pitcher would pitch vs Team A
and which pitcher would pitch vs Team B? Does it start each week with pitcher #
1 and then to go # 2 and then # 3 and so forth? If so, would anything be
effected (either positively or negatively) by changing the order of your
pitching rotation each week, say moving your # 1 (say Lincecum as an example)
one week, to # 3 another week, and then back to # 1 another?
> >
> > Since I suppose teams can look at other team's starting rotation orders,
they can try to match up specific pitcher vs specific pitcher matchups to their
advantage by not matching their best pitcher up as # 1 (maybe using their worst)
when Lincecum starts. Maybe their best pitcher is slotted as # 2 or # 3 so they
dont have to matchup vs Lincecum and just write that one game off by using their
worst pitcher in the # 1 slot.
> >
> > But if the SIMM doesn't follow any particular order of starters when playing
out games, then that would not have any bearing. If it does, then I think it
would. Wouldn't it? Anyone have any thoughts?
> >
> > And in a typical 6 game week, if three pitchers get two starts in Real
Baseball, if you DO NOT use pitching matchup preference, how does the Scoresheet
SIMM decide which of those 3 pitchers gets that 6th game in Scoresheet game?
> >
> > Carl
>
Ok, then why, unless the prefer to face option is used, would the order of
appearance for starters in a given week not follow the order they are listed?
Of course which starter is making the extra start would factor in but why
wouldn't it go for example 123451 or 234512 or 345123 etc if there is no
manipulation?
--- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "garthhewitt" <garthhewitt@...> wrote:
>
> No no. Some of this is very wrong. The sim does not match bad pitching with
good opponents. It is randomish with adjustment for prefer-to-face and not
allowing the same SP to go more than once against the same opponent.
>
Thank you for addressing this .. this is one of the unknowns I have always
wondered about in Scoresheet.
I get that one pitcher can't start agaisnt the same team twice in any week.
That's an understood. But if you don't use thet PREFER To FACE option why would
the SIMM do anything but go 1.2.3.4.5..1.2, in say a typical week,..first though
seeing if pitcher #1 had a second start that week or enough innings? Then just
go down the SP list in order to see which other pitcher had a second start
What if all 5 SPers pitched twice (not likely)? What order would the SIMM
follow then for games 1-5, and then games 6 and 7?
Would the # of second starts any of the pitchers had in one week OVER-RIDE the
unused starts from a previous week? As an example, Pitcher 1 pitches two games
of 17 innings in previous week, but only gets one start in Scoresheet..but then
in second week Pitcher 1 gets one start and Pitchers 4 and 5 get two. In that
week, if it were a 7 game week, would Both Pitcher 4 and 5 get that 6th and 7th
game start and override the unused start from pitcher a in previous week? Or
would the SIMM use the offensive stats of opponents in the 7 game week and
attempt to match with the pitcher whose stats most closely matched up with their
offensive output. Does that make sense? Probably not.
Lastly, and I dont think anyone has answered this. Is there any advantage
whatsoever of juggling the order of your starters from week to week if you use
the same 5 pitchers week in in and week out (assuming no injuries or DL time)
and either use, or dont use, the PREFER TO FACE Option?
Carl
--- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "bluechip_10" <bluechip_10@...> wrote:
>
> Ok, then why, unless the prefer to face option is used, would the order of
appearance for starters in a given week not follow the order they are listed?
>
> Of course which starter is making the extra start would factor in but why
wouldn't it go for example 123451 or 234512 or 345123 etc if there is no
manipulation?
>
>
> --- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "garthhewitt" <garthhewitt@> wrote:
> >
> > No no. Some of this is very wrong. The sim does not match bad pitching
with good opponents. It is randomish with adjustment for prefer-to-face and not
allowing the same SP to go more than once against the same opponent.
> >
>
The answer to most of these questions were just covered last week in
the notes the Bartons included with your results.
For example, " ... 'carry-over' starts do count the same as real
starts when figuring out who should start twice for you in a week.
This means that if more than one pitcher has 2 starts available the
pitcher higher in your rotation gets two starts, except when a lower
listed pitcher is facing a team you have listed in his 'prefer to
face' column."
Two weeks ago, the fifth starter on on of my teams had two very good
starts, one of which was saved. Since I realized that this week I was
facing two teams which are perhaps my chief competition in that league
for a playoff spot, I moved that pitcher up to the top of my rotation
for this week.
On Sun, Jul 12, 2009 at 5:11 PM, Carl<togatx@...> wrote:
> Thank you for addressing this .. this is one of the unknowns I have always
wondered about in Scoresheet.
>
> I get that one pitcher can't start agaisnt the same team twice in any week.
That's an understood. But if you don't use thet PREFER To FACE option why would
the SIMM do anything but go 1.2.3.4.5..1.2, in say a typical week,..first though
seeing if pitcher #1 had a second start that week or enough innings? Then just
go down the SP list in order to see which other pitcher had a second start
>
> What if all 5 SPers pitched twice (not likely)? What order would the SIMM
follow then for games 1-5, and then games 6 and 7?
>
> Would the # of second starts any of the pitchers had in one week OVER-RIDE the
unused starts from a previous week? As an example, Pitcher 1 pitches two games
of 17 innings in previous week, but only gets one start in Scoresheet..but then
in second week Pitcher 1 gets one start and Pitchers 4 and 5 get two. In that
week, if it were a 7 game week, would Both Pitcher 4 and 5 get that 6th and 7th
game start and override the unused start from pitcher a in previous week? Or
would the SIMM use the offensive stats of opponents in the 7 game week and
attempt to match with the pitcher whose stats most closely matched up with
their offensive output. Does that make sense? Probably not.
>
> Lastly, and I dont think anyone has answered this. Is there any advantage
whatsoever of juggling the order of your starters from week to week if you use
the same 5 pitchers week in in and week out (assuming no injuries or DL time)
and either use, or dont use, the PREFER TO FACE Option?
>
> Carl
>
>
> --- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "bluechip_10" <bluechip_10@...> wrote:
>>
>> Ok, then why, unless the prefer to face option is used, would the order of
appearance for starters in a given week not follow the order they are listed?
>>
>> Of course which starter is making the extra start would factor in but why
wouldn't it go for example 123451 or 234512 or 345123 etc if there is no
manipulation?
>>
>>
>> --- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "garthhewitt" <garthhewitt@> wrote:
>> >
>> > No no. Some of this is very wrong. The sim does not match bad pitching
with good opponents. It is randomish with adjustment for prefer-to-face and not
allowing the same SP to go more than once against the same opponent.
>> >
>>
>
>
>
>
> ------------------------------------
>
> List owners: brian@..., grum@..., phfinkelstein@...
> Yahoo! Groups Links
>
>
>
>
Ive had that situation come up several times but didnt make any changes. LMK if
that # 5 guys get two starts this week. Even then, since this week has seven
games, I suppose it would depend on if you had others SPer who were #s 1-4 the
previous week also had two starts this week.
--- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, Stephen Shelby <sdshelby@...> wrote:
>
> The answer to most of these questions were just covered last week in
> the notes the Bartons included with your results.
>
> For example, " ... 'carry-over' starts do count the same as real
> starts when figuring out who should start twice for you in a week.
> This means that if more than one pitcher has 2 starts available the
> pitcher higher in your rotation gets two starts, except when a lower
> listed pitcher is facing a team you have listed in his 'prefer to
> face' column."
>
> Two weeks ago, the fifth starter on on of my teams had two very good
> starts, one of which was saved. Since I realized that this week I was
> facing two teams which are perhaps my chief competition in that league
> for a playoff spot, I moved that pitcher up to the top of my rotation
> for this week.
>
>
>
> On Sun, Jul 12, 2009 at 5:11 PM, Carl<togatx@...> wrote:
> > Thank you for addressing this .. this is one of the unknowns I have always
wondered about in Scoresheet.
> >
> > I get that one pitcher can't start agaisnt the same team twice in any week.
That's an understood. But if you don't use thet PREFER To FACE option why would
the SIMM do anything but go 1.2.3.4.5..1.2, in say a typical week,..first though
seeing if pitcher #1 had a second start that week or enough innings? Then just
go down the SP list in order to see which other pitcher had a second start
> >
> > What if all 5 SPers pitched twice (not likely)? What order would the SIMM
follow then for games 1-5, and then games 6 and 7?
> >
> > Would the # of second starts any of the pitchers had in one week OVER-RIDE
the unused starts from a previous week? As an example, Pitcher 1 pitches two
games of 17 innings in previous week, but only gets one start in Scoresheet..but
then in second week Pitcher 1 gets one start and Pitchers 4 and 5 get two. In
that week, if it were a 7 game week, would Both Pitcher 4 and 5 get that 6th and
7th game start and override the unused start from pitcher a in previous week? Or
would the SIMM use the offensive stats of opponents in the 7 game week and
attempt to match with the pitcher whose stats most closely matched up with
their offensive output. Does that make sense? Probably not.
> >
> > Lastly, and I dont think anyone has answered this. Is there any advantage
whatsoever of juggling the order of your starters from week to week if you use
the same 5 pitchers week in in and week out (assuming no injuries or DL time)
and either use, or dont use, the PREFER TO FACE Option?
> >
> > Carl
> >
> >
> > --- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "bluechip_10" <bluechip_10@> wrote:
> >>
> >> Ok, then why, unless the prefer to face option is used, would the order of
appearance for starters in a given week not follow the order they are listed?
> >>
> >> Of course which starter is making the extra start would factor in but why
wouldn't it go for example 123451 or 234512 or 345123 etc if there is no
manipulation?
> >>
> >>
> >> --- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "garthhewitt" <garthhewitt@> wrote:
> >> >
> >> > No no. Some of this is very wrong. The sim does not match bad pitching
with good opponents. It is randomish with adjustment for prefer-to-face and not
allowing the same SP to go more than once against the same opponent.
> >> >
> >>
> >
> >
> >
> >
> > ------------------------------------
> >
> > List owners: brian@..., grum@..., phfinkelstein@...
> > Yahoo! Groups Links
> >
> >
> >
> >
>
Which pitcher starts which game is randomly generated, within the constraint
that a pitcher can't start twice against the same team in one week, and the
"prefer to face" tends to mean that a particular pitcher will be far more likely
to face that particular team than any other team.
I don't think I would call random generation, "manipulation".
> Of course which starter is making the extra start would factor in but why
wouldn't it go for example 123451 or 234512 or 345123 etc if there is no
manipulation?
>
>
I thought it meant he WILL face that team, not is MORE Likely to face"
Is that not correct?
If I understand it correctly, one poster mentioned something about his # 5
getting two really good starts last week, so he changed his # 5 last week to # 1
thinking this week he would then get two starts for sure this week (July 5-12)
and his good banked start from his # 5 (now changed to # 1) would definitely
count this week and he would get two starts for sure from that guys with one of
them guaranteed to be good.
Does it work like that?
Carl
.............................
--- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "kwarrenca" <kenwarren77@...> wrote:
>
> Which pitcher starts which game is randomly generated, within the constraint
that a pitcher can't start twice against the same team in one week, and the
"prefer to face" tends to mean that a particular pitcher will be far more likely
to face that particular team than any other team.
>
> I don't think I would call random generation, "manipulation".
is no manipulation?
Carl, you confused a couple of issues. Steve was saying he's sure about his #1
guy getting two starts. Ken was saying the SP is more likely to be assigned to
a give ptf team. It's "Whether" to start versus who to start against. I'm
pretty sure Steve and Ken are both right about how the program makes each of
those discrete decisions.
--- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "Carl" <togatx@...> wrote:
>
> I thought it meant he WILL face that team, not is MORE Likely to face"
> Is that not correct?
>
> If I understand it correctly, one poster mentioned something about his # 5
getting two really good starts last week, so he changed his # 5 last week to # 1
thinking this week he would then get two starts for sure this week (July 5-12)
and his good banked start from his # 5 (now changed to # 1) would definitely
count this week and he would get two starts for sure from that guys with one of
them guaranteed to be good.
>
> Does it work like that?
> Carl
> .............................
>
> --- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "kwarrenca" <kenwarren77@> wrote:
> >
> > Which pitcher starts which game is randomly generated, within the constraint
that a pitcher can't start twice against the same team in one week, and the
"prefer to face" tends to mean that a particular pitcher will be far more likely
to face that particular team than any other team.
> >
> > I don't think I would call random generation, "manipulation".
> is no manipulation?
>
I'm not sure where, in one of the instructions, the weekly notes or here, Jeff
or Dave explained that they didn't want #1 pitchers facing the other number ones
each and every week. Remember that at the time the algorithms were written, the
instructions came by mail and owners made very few changes. In other words, the
order was never locked to the ranking because the Bartons thought their game
would be more fun with the order changing each week.
--- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "bluechip_10" <bluechip_10@...> wrote:
>
> Ok, then why, unless the prefer to face option is used, would the order of
appearance for starters in a given week not follow the order they are listed?
>
> Of course which starter is making the extra start would factor in but why
wouldn't it go for example 123451 or 234512 or 345123 etc if there is no
manipulation?
>
>
> --- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "garthhewitt" <garthhewitt@> wrote:
> >
> > No no. Some of this is very wrong. The sim does not match bad pitching
with good opponents. It is randomish with adjustment for prefer-to-face and not
allowing the same SP to go more than once against the same opponent.
> >
>
Carryover stats should NOT have affected Paulino's crappy appearance for you; it
appears to be a case, as best I can tell, of the fact that some randomness (bad
'dice roll') occurs, and you got bit badly. But the luck balancing should help
you; his future scoresheet stats (maybe in tonight's games!) should be BETTER
than his MLB ones, as his ERA for you in NL322 is 6.87, as compared to his MLB
ERA of 5.55. So no, I don't think there is any tweaking you need to do on your
lineup card. In the short-term, stuff happens, but in the long-term, it tends to
even out.
OTOH.... I count 9 pitchers who have tossed most of your innings. Most are on
track to match their MLB stats closely, with Pualino being the ugly exception.
But your Cole Hamels is almost a run per game BETTER than the Phillies' Hamels.
Ditto for Kazmir. Ditto for Nunez. Your Perez is more than one pt of ERA better
than his MLB ##s, and Mike Gonzzlez is practically untouchable on your team, an
ERA of about HALF of his in real life. So I suspect your staff is due to get
roughed up real soon, solely due to your hurlers having been VERY lucky so far.
Unless you've faced unusually poor hitting so far this year.
Tom
--- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "Carl" <togatx@...> wrote:
>
> Yes I get he has been brutal but THIS Particular week Paulino ONLY only
pitched in real baseball as a starter in one 7 inning performance in which he
gave up 3 hits, no walks, nine Ks and one earned run. I haven't checked but I
think he got into two game for me this past week in Scoresheet and pitched 3
innings gvign up 3 earned runs in th oen innign in th first game (comign as my #
5 guy out of pen) I thought carryforward stats only came into play when a
particular player had unused innings from previous weeks and needed those. If I
guy pitches 7 innings in real baseball in a week does the SIMM still use
provious stats from prior weeks?
>
> So am I missing something? Because if the SIMM does go back and average
previous terribly pitching performances might as well bench a guy who started
the season horribly for the remainder of year and Never use him again..
>
> > --- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "soxknation" wrote:
> > >
> > > well Carl, since Paulino hadn't pitched in a few weeks prior, & you prob.
had him in back then or prior anyway?: I'd say it's a combined stat result. He's
been brutal other than that 1 outing?
> > >
> > >
> > > Date IP ERA(on date)
> > >
> > > Jun 27 7.0 5.51
> > > Jun 7 1.2 6.18
> >
>
Shhhhh. People only want to point at the sim when they think they're getting
screwed over. Conversely, when players are overacheiving in scoresheet, it's due
to the expert managing skills of the owner, not good fortune....
--- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "Tom Hanrahan" <Han60Man@...> wrote:
>
>
> OTOH.... I count 9 pitchers who have tossed most of your innings. Most are on
track to match their MLB stats closely, with Pualino being the ugly exception.
But your Cole Hamels is almost a run per game BETTER than the Phillies' Hamels.
Ditto for Kazmir. Ditto for Nunez. Your Perez is more than one pt of ERA better
than his MLB ##s, and Mike Gonzzlez is practically untouchable on your team, an
ERA of about HALF of his in real life. So I suspect your staff is due to get
roughed up real soon, solely due to your hurlers having been VERY lucky so far.
Unless you've faced unusually poor hitting so far this year.
>
> Tom
>
>