Watching a player play in person doesn't hold a candle to using a
statistical analysis.

1) A statistical analysis allows you to compare the guy you watched to
all the other players that you haven't watched in a very accurate way.

2) The modern metrics (WARP, OPS+, xERA etc) are far better than the
old BA, HR, RBI, & ERA that people used to use as stats and are park
adjusted.

3) Defense can now be measured very accurately with the modern
metrics. Much better than personal observation.

4) I can see using scouting reports, and how a guy "hussles" to be the
sort of thing that you would use to break ties, but not to over rule
statistical analysis.

Ken


--- In scoresheet-talk@yahoogroups.com, "mooberrybrian"
<mooberrybrian@...> wrote:
>
> You guys depend too much on projections. Whatever happen to gut
> feelings? Doesn't anyone ever go to spring training and spend some
> time at the minor league complex and watch the minor league players.
> Doesn't anyone catch some minor league baseball games? The fun of
> Scoresheet is drafting, seting up the lineup, and running your own
> team. It seems that too many of us are making all of our decisions
> based on "predictions" to draft our team and set up our lineups.
> You've got to put some personal feeling into this. It's like Dave
> Dombrowski of Detroit. He is still trading for and getting the ball
> players that he watched, scouted, and signed when he was with the
> Florida Marlins. Spotting someone who is young and putting his faith
> in the decisions that he made. What would we do if there weren't
> computers to do all the work for us. It might still be part of the
> reason that I'm not winning in my league, but I still draft and keep
> players that I have personal contact with when they were playing in
> the minor leagues. So it would be nice to hear someone say, " I
> thinl that this player is better to keep because he hussles more, is
> a better person, or has better skills" than hearing , "well he is
> projected to do"
>
> Moobery