Message headline should read March 11th!

--- In northernracingclub@yahoogroups.com, nwrc99 <no_reply@...>
wrote:
>
> Saturday Racing 10 Year Trends Mar 11th.
>
>
>
> SANDOWN
>
> 2.10 Nov H'cap Hurdle: A modest race for favourites (23%) with
> 6yo having an exceptional record with 8/10 wins. Only one winner
> carried more than 11st 2lbs and with 8/10 also winning last
completed
> race this suggests Billyandi may be worth ew support. Ignoring the
> stats
> Tokala may be interesting - having backed it last week it was
given
> a
> tender ride by McCoy who rides again this week over the longer
trip.
>
> 2.45 H'cap Chase: Looks a trappy heat with form figures of many
> runners
> having more letters than numbers! Poor favourites race at 20% with
> lower
> weighted horses aged 8-10yrs having best record. Supreme Catch is
a
> possible
> contender on these criteria.
>
> 3.20 Imperial Cup: M Pipe has a great record in this event however
> his last
> 3 winenrs all won LTO. Its also worth noting that 5yo have the
best
> record
> in this event with 7/10 wins. 8/10 winners also carried 11st 1lb
or
> less thus
> Tarlac just gets my vote.
>
> 3.55 NH Bumper: All races won by 4/5yo with N Henderson/M
Fitzgerald
> picking up
> 4 out of last 7 races. Karello Bay is therefore the preferred of
the
> stables
> runners based on Sthe jockey bookings.
>
> WOLVERHAMPTON
>
> 2.25 6f H'CAP: No favourite has won this in all 7 races run since
> 1999. N Littmoden
> has won race three times and stall 4 has provided 4/7 winners.
Lower
> weighted horses
> (9st or less) also have best record. This all seems to suggest
that
> One More Round
> could be primed to break a long losing streak (since 2002) but not
> one to
> mortgage the house on!!
>
> 3.00 2M H'CAP; A win on last two outings is a common feature in
most
> past winners
> and with 4yo also having the best strike rate Desperation looks a
> possible winner.
>
> 3.35 LINCOLN TRIAL: weak event for favourites with either a
low/high
> draw
> seemingly preefrred. Winners tend to have top recent AW form or
are
> having a
> first run of season ahead of the true Lincoln target. K Ryan has
> three in the
> race and it looks like these may be the ones to focus on. As all
> past winners
> aged 4-6yrs this doesnt help narrow down the satbles runenrs that
> much but if
> pressed Id go for Divine Gift ahead of My Paris
>
> 4.10 1M+ Maiden; Strong favourites race with top southern yards
> usually proving
> the winner. All 5 winners were 5th or better LTO thus Just Logic
> looks a solid
> choice in this.
>
>
> SATURDAY NAPS SELECTIONS
>
> PHIL EVANS - Karello Bay 3.55 Sandown
> CAROL EVANS - Victram 3.20 Sandown
>
>
> http://www.evans996.freeserve.co.uk/SaturdayNapChallenge.htm
>