After each race the figure in brackets represents the favourites
winning strike rate in the same
race over the last 10 years.

Yesterdays comments found the first three forcasts but no actual
winners so must try harder
today!

2.25 5f Maiden for 2yo (38%): A run 6th or better LTO is usually
required and all had had a
break of at least 14 days since last outing. Highest SP was 11/2.
Draw less influential in this
event implying that abilty should prevail! On this basis LEONATO
stands out with in form
Jimmy Fortune on board.

3.00 7f Conditions Stks (60%): Whilst favourites have a good record
surprisingly all five past
winners finished out of first six LTO. No horse older than 5 has yet
to win the race and all but
one winner had SP of 4/1 or shorter. A high draw does not seem a
disadvantage in this size of
field. MAKHLAB just gets my vote but Id not be surprised to see
Glaramara run a big race here.

3.35 1m 2f H/cap (30%): Only run five times in current format with a
low draw 1-6 being seen
each time. No winner aged older than 6yo and a last run 8-30 days
earlier preferred. Mark
Brisbourne has won this before with Luxor but his other two runners
make more appeal this time
and to be honest I cant separate the two thus will try a forcast with
RANI TWO and
GIUNCHIGLIO.

4.10 City Wall Stakes over 5f (25%): Eric Alston has won 5 times in
11 years thus Dani Ridge
has to be considered especially as 6yo have a good record in the
race. Bishops Court has won this
for last two years and may run well again but at 10yo would be the
oldest ever winner of the race
and stall 9 seems an impossible draw. In fields of 9 stalls 1&3 have
won twice and stall 7 once.
All past winners last raced 7-35 days earlier and had SP's of 10-1 or
shorter. Fire Up The Band
should run well but has never won over the trip. There are two
interesting foreign runners and of
these DORUBAKO looks the pick having missed the cut in last weeks
July Cup so they will be
keen the pay for the return air flight!

4.45 2m H/cap (6%): Only eith runnings at current distance. All past
winners finished in first
four LTO. Odds of 4/1+ usually seen albeit much smaller field this
year. A last run 8-21 days
earlier also a common feature. Very few make any appeal whatsoever
and whilst SUDDEN
FLIGHT is a tentative selection the lack of a win at the trip is a
concern as is the poor favourites
record!Herne Bay looks best of the remainder.

5.15 1m App H/cap (40%): Whilst a low-middle draw is seen to best
effect there have been two
winners from the widest berth including Glenrock at 50-1 last year so
is this an omen for
Midnight Arrow (off the track for last two years) who comes from the
same yard? Other than
that the best age groups are 4 & 6 yo and having been well backed
last time MALLARD is a
tentative selection at odds of around 6-1.

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