FEB 7th MEETING - 10 YEAR TRENDS

Previous race trends can often help provide a shortlist of potential
winners in the current year's races - hopefully these brief pointers
will assist race goers at Carlisle today - figure in brackets after
the
race details gives the favourite`s win rate in the race:

1.10 2M 1F Nov Hurdle (33%): Only run three times at current trip
With 5yo winning each time having finished in first three places on
Last outing.
1.40 3M Nov H'cap Chase (0%): Only run twice since race changed
to handicap status in 2005. Both past winners had similar profiles
Being trained by R Guest, aged 7 years, 2nd on last outing (25-26
days earlier)
and well backed with SP between 7/2 and 4/1.
2.15 2M 4F (Mares) Nov Hurdle (33%): 6yo have best record in this
event
Winning 6/9 races. Last run usually after break of at least 16 days
with
4th or better finish seen on all but one occasion since 1994.
2.50 2M Nov Chase (50%): Only run twice with few trends other than
both had run only once/twice in current season.
3.30 2M 1F H'cap Hurdle (50%): All past winners SP's 7-1 or shorter.
L Lungo is leading trainer with 2/4 wins. All had been rested at
least 29 days
since last race and finished 5th or better last time out.
3.55 2M H'cap Chase (10%): All winners aged between 7-10 yrs. Last
three winners
all out of form on last outing with SP's of between 12-1 and 20-1.
Last run usually
14-43 days earlier with 9/10 carrying 10st 11lbs or greater.
4.25 1M 6F NH Flat Race (50%): Only run twice at new trip - only
common theme was both were unbeaten - one unraced and one dual winner.

In addition to actual race trends it is worth looking at the leading
jockeys & trainers at this meeting over the last 10 years as follows:

TRAINERS
NAME WINS
L Lungo 6
J Jefferson 2
F Murphy 2
T George 2
J H Johnson 2
R Guest 2
F Murtagh 2
N Richards 2
M Todhunter 2
A Whillans 2
H Dalton 1
H Daly 1
D Wintle 1
K Bailey 1
M W Easterby 1
A Crook 1
E Tuer 1
A Parker 1
J Haldane 1
D Sayer 1
T Donnelly 1
P Beaumont 1
M Hammond 1
M Peil 1
S Bramall (Ire) 1
R Johnson 1
A Whillans 1
G Swinbank 1

JOCKEYS
NAME WINS
A Dobbin 6
G Lee 4
P Carberry 2
J P McNamara 2
Mr T Greenall 2
P Merrigan 1
S Craine 1
R Supple 1
R Wakley 1
L McGrath 1
P C O'Neill 1
W Marston 1
H Oliver 1
J Crowley 1
I Jardine 1
W Dowling 1
B Gibson 1
R McGrath 1
K Johnson 1
P Robson 1
J Maguire 1
T Phelan 1
K Renwick 1
D Costello 1


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