June 28th (Bell & Plate Day) 10 Year Trends

Previous race trends can often help provide a shortlist of potential
winners in the current year's races - hopefully these brief pointers
will assist racegoers at Carlisle today. Due to the changes in the
race schedule in 2006 there are only past records for five races
today as follows:

(2.20) 6 Furl Mdn (2yo): Favourites fare quite well in this event
with a 55% strike rate with only one winner at odds higher than
15/2. A 5th or better place on last run (or an unraced horse) is
preferred. Leading trainers are M Prescott & M Johnston with 2 wins
each. Highest winning draw in this race is stall 7.

(2.50) 5 Furl Mdn Auct (2yo): Again favourites fare well in this
event with a 66% strike rate seen. Four of last 6 winners finished
3rd on last outing .

(3.20) Carlisle Bell (1Mile H'cap): Whilst favourites have a modest
18% strike rate the last three winners were all sole of joint
favourites. Indeed well backed horses fare best with longest winning
odds seen of 10-1. Good form on last outing (all within last 28
days) seems essential with 9/10 finishing 4th or better last time
and all finishing 6th or better.

(3.50) Cumberland Plate (1M 4F H'cap): No a strong race for
favourites with only a 25% strike rate and three winners odds12-1
or greater so clearly usually a very open race. 5yo is preferred age
group with 6/10 wins. A single outing in current season was noted
for the last three winners. Whilst M Johnston is leading trainer
with 2 wins his last winner was in 1997.

(4.20) 5 Furl H'cap (3yo): A poor race for favourites with only a
10% strike rate although all winners were fairly well supported with
odds of 8-1 or shorter. Last five winners all won or were placed on
either of last two outings. With no winner having been rested for
more than 28 days since last race. Last eight winners all drawn in
stall 6 or higher.

In addition to actual race trends it is worth looking at the leading
jockeys & trainers at this meeting over the last 5 years as follows:



Information supplied by www.northernracingclub.com .

Jockeys Wins Trainers Wins
K Darley 4 M Johnston 5
J Fortune 4 E Alston 3
J Spencer 4 K Burke 3
F Lynch 3 M Prescott 2
F Norton 3 K Ryan 2
N Callan 3