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Williams, Wandy, and Sampson is what's up. Other than the Nationals, that might be the shakiest 3-4-5 in baseball. 64 starts from Oswalt & Jennings should net us 40 wins (64 * 0.625 win percentage) then 98 starts from the others should net us another 40 wins (98 * roughly 0.40 win percentage). That gives us right at 80 wins.
Of course, if Roger comes back in June and makes 22 starts for us in place of that 5th starter, that should add an extra 6 wins or so to give us the 85-86 that Bill predicts.
Hopefully, Sampson, Albers, Nieve, or Patton will surprise and win 12-14 games for us.
charlesok@... wrote:
charlesok@... wrote:
I heard on the radio that Vegas has the Astros at something like 76.5 wins as an over/under.
What's up?
ck
Mike" <mikedillon@grandecom.net > wrote:
>I hope you are right. Sorry I had to miss the meeting. Mike
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: billcgilbert@sbcglobal. net
> To: Rogers Hornsby Chapter
> Sent: Sunday, April 01, 2007 9:46 PM
> Subject: [hornsby] Predictions -2007
>
>
>
> I'm putting myself on the line by making my annual predictions for the 2007 season. I can't make a case that the Astros have the best team, especially with Wandy Rodriguez in the stating rotation. However, I think a case can be made that a reasonable amount of parity has been achieved, especially in the National League Central Division. Once a team makes the playoffs, anything can happen as the Cardinals showed last year.
>
> Hopefully, I am on a roll. If Ohio State beats Florida tomorrow night, I will take the top prize in a Yahoo bracket that had 26 competitors.
>
> Bill Gilbert
>
> National League American League
> --------------------- - ------------ --------- -
> East W L East W L
> -------- --- --- --------- --- ---
> Philadelphia 91 71 New York 93 69
> Atlanta 90 72 Boston 91 71
> New York 88 74 Toronto 77 85
> Florida 72 90 Baltimore 72 90
> Washington 60 102 Tampa Bay 68 94
> --- --- --- ---
> 401 409 401 409
>
> Central W L Central W L
> ------- --- --- ------- --- ---
> Houston 85 77 Detroit 88 74
> St. Louis 84 78 Cleveland 86 76
> Milwaukee 83 79 Minnesota 84 78
> Chicago 77 85 Chicago 82 80
> Cincinnati 76 86 Kansas City 71 91
> Pittsburgh 70 92 --- ---
> --- --- 411 399
> 475 497
>
> West W L West W L
> -------- --- --- --------- --- ---
> Los Angeles 89 73 Anaheim 89 73
> San Diego 87 75 Oakland 87 75
> Arizona 86 76 Texas 82 80
> Colorado 78 84 Seattle 70 92
> San Francisco 74 88 --- ---
> --- --- 328 320
> 414 396
> 1140 1128
> Total 1290 1302
>
>
> NLCS - Atlanta over Los Angeles; Houston over Philadelphia
> Houston over Atlanta.
>
> ALCS - Boston over Anaheim: New York over Detroit.
> Boston over New York.
>
> World Series - Houston over Boston.
>
> Bill Gilbert
> 4/1/07
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