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Wimbledon: Andrew's analysis of the draw   Message List  
Reply | Forward Message #1682 of 1731 |
Wimbledon: Andrew's analysis of the draw

=================
THE CHAMPIONSHIPS (Wimbledon, England; grass; Grand Slam)
================= http://www.wimbledon.org/
Contents
--------

1. First-round draw
2. Andrew's wishes
3. Daniela Hantuchová preview
4. Order of play for Monday

This is a Daniela-filtered subset of my full analysis of the draw:
http://www.wtaworld.com/showthread.php?t=305015

-------------------
1. First-round draw
-------------------
1.1 Top quarter: Daniela Hantuchová
-----------------------------------

* JUSTINE HENIN [1] v Jorgelina Cravero [Q]
* Timea Bacsinszky v Vera Dushevina (hopp Timea!)
* Sun,Tiantian v Emilie Loit
* Elena Vesnina v OLGA POUTCHKOVA [30] (may the better win!)

* ALYONA BONDARENKO [24] v Jill Craybas (davai Alyona!)
* Eva Birnerová v Ágnes Szávay [Q] (pojdme Eva!)
* Ashley Harkleroad v Roberta Vinci (both nice; go Ashley!)
* Camille Pin v PATTY SCHNYDER [15]

* DANIELA HANTUCHOVÁ [10,EF] v Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova [WC] (podme
Daniela!)
* Maria Elena Camerin v Elena Likhovtseva (both nice; forza Maria
Elena!)
* Nika Ožegovic [Q] v Anna-Lena Grönefeld
* KATARINA SREBOTNIK [19] v Elena Baltacha [WC] (dajmo Katarina!)

* SAMANTHA STOSUR [27] v Kristina Brandi [Q]
* Milagros Sequera v Julia Schruff
* Alicia Molik v Anastasia Rodionova (go Alicia!)
* Lourdes Domínguez Lino v SERENA WILLIAMS [7]


1.2 Second quarter: Anna Chakvetadze
------------------------------------

* JELENA JANKOVIC [3] v Anne Keothavong [WC]
* Meghann Shaughnessy v Jarmila Gajdošová
* Gisela Dulko [DF] v Eleni Daniilidou
* LUCIE ŠAFÁROVÁ [25,DF] v Zuzana Ondrášková (both nice; pojdme
Lucie!)

* Flavia Pennetta [DF] v MARION BARTOLI [18,S] (both nice; forza
Flavia!)
* Olga Govortsova [Q] v Greta Arn (davai Olga!)
* Tatjana Malek v Kaia Kanepi (ich wünsche, daß Tatjana gewinnt)
* SHAHAR PE'ER [16] v Tamarine Tanasugarn (kadima Shahar!)

* MARTINA HINGIS [9] v Naomi Cavaday [9] (hopp Martina!)
* Martina Suchá v Aiko Nakamura [S] (my Reason says Aiko, but my
Passion says Martina)
* Aleksandra Wozniak v Laura Granville
* Varvara Lepchenko v SYBILLE BAMMER [20] (davai Varvara!)

* MICHAËLLA KRAJÍCEK [31] v Tzipora Obziler (kom op Michaëlla!)
* Sandra Klösel v Katie O'Brien [WC]
* Viktoriya Kutuzova [WC] v Tatiana Poutchek
* ANNA CHAKVETADZE [8,EF] v Angelique Kerber (davai Anna!)


1.3 Third quarter: Nicole Vaidišová
-----------------------------------

* ANA IVANOVIC [6,DF] v Melinda Czink (ajde Ana!)
* Edina Gallovits v Meilen Tu
* Aravane Rezaď v Shenay Perry (allez Aravane!)
* Anne Kremer v FRANCESCA SCHIAVONE [29] (dajee Anne!)

* Virginia Ruano Pascual v ANABEL MEDINA GARRIGUES [22] (Ąvamos
Virginia!)
* Tatiana Perebiynis [Q] v Emmanuelle Gagliardi (davai Tatiana!)
* Sania Mirza [DF] v Yaroslava Shvedova (both nice; chal Sania!)
* Vania King v NADIA PETROVA [11]

* NICOLE VAIDIŠOVÁ [14,EF] v Karin Knapp (pojdme Nicole!)
* Nicole Pratt v Casey Dell'Acqua [Q]
* Victoria Azarenka v Jelena Kostanic Tošic
* Yan,Zi [Q,S] v TATHIANA GARBIN [21] (jia you Zi!)

* Ayumi Morita [Q,S] v MARA SANTANGELO [28] (ganbatte Ayumi!)
* Caroline Wozniacki [WC] v Anastasiya Yakimova (kom sĺ Caroline!)
* Virginie Razzano v Yvonne Meusburger
* Jamea Jackson v AMÉLIE MAURESMO [4] (anyone but Mauresmo!)


1.4 Bottom quarter: Maria Sharapova
-----------------------------------

* Julia Vakulenko v SVETLANA KUZNETSOVA [5] (davai Julia!)
* Bethanie Mattek v Vasilisa Bardina
* Tsvetana Kirilova Pironkova v Agnieszka Radwanska (aide Tsvetana!)
* Anna Smashnova v MARTINA MÜLLER [32]

* TATIANA GOLOVIN [17,DF] v Hsieh,Su-Wei [Q,S] (allez Tatiana!)
* Tamira Paszek v Barbora Záhlavová Strýcová [Q] (auf jetzt Tamira!)
* Iveta Benešová v Catalina Castańo (pojdme Iveta!)
* ELENA DEMENTIEVA [12] v Nathalie Dechy (davai Elena!)

* Kateryna Bondarenko v DINARA SAFINA [13] (davai Kateryna!)
* Akiko Morigami [S] v Alberta Brianti (ganbatte Akiko!)
* Peng,Shuai [S] v Hana Šromová (jia you Shuai!)
* Alla Kudryavtseva v VENUS WILLIAMS [23]

* AI SUGIYAMA [26] v Melanie South [WC]
* Maria Kirilenko v Alizé Cornet [LL] (both nice; davai Maria!)
* Séverine Brémond v Ekaterina Bychkova (both nice; allez Séverine!)
* MARIA SHARAPOVA [2,EF] v Chan,Yung-Jan (davai Maria!)

------------------
2. Andrew's wishes
------------------

DANIELA HANTUCHOVÁ [10,EF]:
1r + Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova [WC]
2r + Maria Elena Camerin
3r + KATARINA SREBOTNIK [19]
4r + Alicia Molik
qf + (3r: ALYONA BONDARENKO [24] v
(1r: Elena Vesnina v OLGA POUTCHKOVA [30]))
sf + ANNA CHAKVETADZE [8,EF]
_f + MARIA SHARAPOVA [2,EF],
7-6 6-7 18446744073709551616-18446744073709551614

-----------------------------
3. Daniela Hantuchová preview
-----------------------------

Daniela's return to the top ten was short-lived, as she drops from
#10 to #12 on the WTA Singles Rankings as of 25th June, despite
reaching the semi-finals of 's-Hertogenbosch with the following
results:
1r + Olga Poutchkova, 6-2 6-1
2r + Meghann Shaughnessy, 3-6 6-3 5-3 retired (left-ankle sprain)
qf + ANA IVANOVIC [2,DF], 6-3 6-1
sf - ANNA CHAKVETADZE [3,EF], 3-6 4-6

Despite increasing her points-total to 1813, Daniela has been
overtaken by Nadia Petrova (#9 with 1862) and Nicole Vaidišová (#10
with 1819) after their exploits at Eastbourne.

But I would certainly have signed for a year in which Daniela won her
first WTA singles-title since 2002, and returned to the top ten for
the first time since 2003!

Daniela's draw to the fourth round bears a striking resemblance to
her Wimbledon 2006 draw, but there she is projected to meet Serena
Williams, who is many people's idea of co-favourite for the title
along with Justine Henin, whom the winner of Daniela v Serena would
meet in the quarter-finals.


3.1 First round
---------------

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova will not be 16 until 3rd July, but she is #1
on the ITF Junior Girls' Singles Rankings; she has won the Girls'
Singles titles at the Australian Open 2006 and 2007, and US Open 2006.

She's not so good on grass, though - nothing to indicate that Daniela
won't give her a good lesson in their first head-to-head meeting!

I actually saw Pavlyuchenkova play Nicole Vaidišová at Moscow 2006:
she's a good little player: a competitive counterpuncher with deep
groundstrokes, who takes the ball early. But her serve was vastly
inferior to Nicole's, who just overpowered her in general.

This will be Pavlyuchenkova's first main-draw appearance in a Grand
Slam Women's Singles, having fallen in the third round of qualifying
for the Australian Open 2007. Since then, her adult activity has been
restricted to four ITF tournaments, with very modest results.

Daniela should be disappointed if she drops more than four games to
the 15-year-old.


3.2 Second round
----------------

I hope for a repeat of Daniela's 1r Wimbledon 2006 match against
beautiful Maria Elena Camerin, although a match against Elena
Likhovtseva would also be nice - provided that they both played a lot
better than they did in 1r Eastbourne 2006!

Likhovseva won that one 6-4 7-6 against a rusty Daniela who had
pulled out of Birmingham that year with a wrist-injury, but Daniela
won their other two meetings: 2001 Fed Cup (6-1 6-3) and 2005 Dubai
2r (7-5 6-4).

Likhovtseva was going to retire at the end of 2006, and has done more
losing than winning this year (13:14), but she's just coming off a
run to the quarter-finals of Birmingham (where she lost to Maria
Sharapova) and a successful qualification for Eastbourne (then she
lost to Shahar Pe'er). Daniela should be too good for her - it would
take a very disappointing performance, as at Eastbourne 2006, to lose
to Elena.

Daniela thrashed Camerin 6-2 6-1 at Sydney 2002, but made a meal of
beating the journeywoman in 1r Wimbledon 2006 (6-4 4-6 6-1).

Camerin is currently on a 4-match losing-streak, and since
Likhovtseva thrashed her 6-0 6-1 in their last meeting, it's not too
likely that Daniela will be meeting Camerin in the second round.


3.3 Third round
---------------

Daniela beat Katarina Srebotnik in 3r Wimbledon 2006, and a rematch
looks likely as I don't think much of the other three players in
Srebotnik's sector.

Srebotnik is a fluid player with spider-like court-craft, but Daniela
owns her 5:0:
+ 2002 Leipzig 1r: 4-6 6-3 6-3
+ 2003 Indian Wells 3r: Daniela 7-6 6-2
+ 2003 San Diego 2r: Daniela 3-6 7-5 7-6 (8/6)
+ 2006 Berlin 2r: Daniela 6-4 0-6 6-1
+ 2006 Wimbledon 3r: Daniela 6-4 7-6

Srebotnik is having a respectable year with a win/loss record of
15:14: she beat Svetlana Kuznetsova 6-2 retired to reach the quarter-
finals of Sydney; other highlights include reaching the third round
of the Australian and French Opens, and quarter-finals of Charleston.
But losing 6-3 6-2 to Tatjana Malek in 1r 's-Hertogenbosch wasn't an
encouraging sign ahead of Wimbledon.


3.4 Fourth round
----------------

Daniela is projected to meet two-time champion Serena Williams in the
fourth round, so this is as far as I'm looking ahead at this stage.

Daniela knocked Serena out of the Australian Open 2006 - when Serena
was defending champion - 6-1 7-6 in the third round, but Serena leads
their head-to-head 5:1.

Everyone was writing off Serena at the Australian Open 2007, but in
one of the most unbelievable comebacks in tennis-history, she won the
title with a ranking of #81, beating red-hot favourite Maria
Sharapova in the final. Serena also won Miami, beating Justine Henin
in the final.

Serena's claycourt-season was less impressive, culminating in a
6-4 6-3 loss to Henin in the quarter-finals of the French Open. It
remains to be seen whether she has lost her form, or if it was just a
bad run on her worst surface.

---------------------------
4. Order of play for Monday
---------------------------

To be scheduled on a free court later in the day:
* WS 1r: DANIELA HANTUCHOVÁ [10,EF] v Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova [WC]

I hope that Federer, Moyá and Jankovic get through their matches
quickly on Centre Court, then we might get to see Daniela on TV at
approximately 17:00 BST! :-)

Full order of play:
http://www.rolandgarros.com/en_FR/scores/schedule/

--
Dr. Andrew Broad
http://geocities.com/andrewbroad/
http://geocities.com/andrewbroad/tennis/
http://geocities.com/andrewbroad/tennis/hantu/

http://groups.yahoo.com/group/danielahantuchova/
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/jeldani/
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/sharapova_vaidisova_hantuchova/




Mon Jun 25, 2007 1:56 am

andrewbroad
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Message #1682 of 1731 |
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The following is an excerpt from my analysis of the whole draw, including wishes for each round, which is available to members of the jeldani Yahoo! Group: ...
Andrew Broad
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Jun 20, 2005
12:32 am

I've been working on my Eastbourne report, but it's most unlikely it will be ready to post before play starts at Wimbledon. I therefore expect to finish it on...
Andrew Broad
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Jun 25, 2006
10:09 pm

================= THE CHAMPIONSHIPS (Wimbledon, England; grass; Grand Slam) ================= http://www.wimbledon.org/ Contents ... 1. First-round draw 2....
Andrew Broad
andrewbroad
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Jun 25, 2007
1:56 am
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