_____

From: Trader Kevin [mailto:cbot_kevin@...]
Sent: Wednesday, June 16, 2004 11:00 AM
To: collegebcs@yahoogroups.com
Subject: RE: [collegebcs] Notre Dame's opener



Jerry Palm:

>> Last year, eight I-A schools opened at home against
teams that had already played a game, and six won,
including ND over Wash St. I'll try and research
further back as well.<<

That's why I wrote "the conventional wisdom is that
the single biggest improvement for any college
football team occurs between the first and second
games of the season." I didn't state it as a fact
because I didn't do any research.



-> I didn't mean to imply that you did.


As you know, a sample size of eight games is far too
small for statistical significance, especially without
accounting for the strength of the teams and
home-field advantage. Nor can improvement always be
measured in wins and losses.





That's why I want to go back further, but that was the best I could do on
short notice.


Penn State Proud, Trade Kevin





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