Tom Boyer:

>> Well the market is wrong a lot. <<

The research and historic data shows the opposite. Each combination of Point
Spread and Total implies a winning percentage for each team. (You see this
reflected in the Money Line.) Historically, the bigger the implied win
percentage, the higher the win rate. Moreover, the implied winning percentages
are very close to the actual win percentages over large numbers of games.

Finally, your sample size (one team's games over a two-year span) is far too
small to determine if the market was "wrong."

Penn State Proud, Trader Kevin