Beginning last year, I took the previous season's ratings and used that
as a seed for the few 4-5 games, similar to what Jeff Sagarin does. The
actual games are weighted much more heavily than the initial rating, so
corrections are made quickly, but it tends to work well.
I'm working on a new method this year which takes into account returning
starters and possibly coaches since that seems to be a relevant
statistic, but I'm not sure how it will pan out. We'll see.
--Jeff
On Thu, 2002-08-01 at 19:09, Patrick E. Fleming wrote:
>
> Okay, the first preseason poll is out and can be seen (among other places)
> at
>
> http://sports.yahoo.com/ncaaf/rankings/coachpoll.html
>
> So, the question is, how do people rate teams for computer systems before
> any games are played? In my system, all teams are rated equally before
> the season begins. But that is only one way of doing things. How do the
> rest of you do it?
>
> - Pat
>
> -- Patrick E. Fleming
> -- Department of Chemistry
> -- San Jose State University
> -- pfleming@...
>
>
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