From: "dan_t_rosenbaum" <rosenbaum@...> To: <APBR_analysis@yahoogroups.com> Sent: Sunday, February 29, 2004 1:45 AM Subject: [APBR_analysis] My Version 2...
3301
Mike G
mikel_ind
Mar 1, 2004 12:31 pm
... attempts... ... Part of the value of a "2-pt attempt" is that fouls are created. Part of this value is in the high-% FT that ensue; and part is that fouls...
3302
John Hollinger
alleyoop2
Mar 1, 2004 8:04 pm
My research in the 2002 Prospectus showed just the opposite -- that a 3-pointer had LESS chance of being rebounded than a two-point shot. Which makes sense,...
3304
Mike G
mikel_ind
Mar 2, 2004 3:29 pm
... that a ... shot. ... is ... This platitude surely predates the 3-point shot. And the "danger" in a player getting a rebound may lie more in what he'll do...
3305
Dean Oliver
HoopStudies
Mar 4, 2004 6:07 pm
... I've been thinking about this statement a bit. Inherently, these play-by-play data do feature all the interactions of a player. They do have...
3306
dan_t_rosenbaum
Mar 4, 2004 9:46 pm
I probably think of this a little differently. Let's think of three kinds of contributions that a player might make to winning. 1. Measured statistics, i.e....
3307
Dean Oliver
HoopStudies
Mar 4, 2004 10:26 pm
Ted Kury's work that he posted here some time ago on refs made the Toronto Star... ...
3308
dlirag@...
dlirag
Mar 5, 2004 5:25 am
What percentage of 3-pt shots are of the unguarded type? By unguarded, I refer to the situation where the shooter is just as open after he shoots the three as...
3309
Dean Oliver
HoopStudies
Mar 5, 2004 1:12 pm
... That was based on a small sample of looking at the shooters in the 3pt contest vs their percentage in regular season games. I was looking for a rule of...
3310
Joe
myviewonthis
Mar 6, 2004 2:16 am
paid to top players (in $mil, rounded) salary source:hoopshype top 2 3 5 total dallas 27 38 50 79 minn 41 50 60 73 sac 26 36 50 65 la 40 45 54 64 nj 26 35 45...
3311
Joe
myviewonthis
Mar 6, 2004 2:44 am
i'm a new member. i did a scan of some of the past 3000 messages to get a feel for the group this afternoon. based on that and recognizing some of the heavy...
3312
Joe
myviewonthis
Mar 6, 2004 3:17 am
one of the issues i am interested in is the data that is available at 82games.com. i shared the initial caution of several other posters here about whether the...
3313
bchaikin@...
Mar 6, 2004 4:04 am
the effort put forth by roland beech and his staff at www.82games.com is absolutely revolutionary. why? because he's taken it upon himself to do what no one...
3314
Joe
myviewonthis
Mar 6, 2004 6:46 am
i agree that the 82games data is to be appreciated and it is very life in its life. i agree with your statement that support and suggestions should be the...
3315
Joe
myviewonthis
Mar 6, 2004 7:09 am
i recognize that linear weight systems are a dime a dozen and are considered somewhat antiquated. i intend to read more about the winval discussion here. but...
3316
Joe
myviewonthis
Mar 6, 2004 8:04 am
Player My PR JH's PER garnett,kevin 1 1 webber,chris 2 duncan,tim 3 2 brand,elton 4 3 stojakovic,predr5 8 o'neal,shaquille6 5 nowitzki,dirk 7 14 ...
3317
Kevin Pelton
thedawgsareout
Mar 6, 2004 9:14 am
I'm sure you've already read this, but let me reiterate that the most appropriate way to validate 82games.com's data, as with anything else, is to check it...
3318
Joe
myviewonthis
Mar 6, 2004 11:28 am
i read as much of the group's discussion on rebounds, assists, missed shots, etc. as i could digest this evening. in general i'm not immediately inclined to...
3319
Joe
myviewonthis
Mar 6, 2004 12:01 pm
i should have added that i havent tried to capture defense intangibles. reputation is subjective and frequently dated or wrong. how and what to incorporate...
3320
Joe
myviewonthis
Mar 6, 2004 12:07 pm
i should say that the idea for trying to calculate trade value came from reading dean oliver many years ago. but i didnt want to calculate the exponents so i...
3321
dlirag@...
dlirag
Mar 7, 2004 12:52 am
What's the formula for Size? ... difference ... ranking ... that .75. ... power...
3322
Mike G
mikel_ind
Mar 7, 2004 12:34 pm
... + .5*as ... I'll streamline this formula to: P = (Pts + VOP*(1.25*Stl + .50*Ast + .33*Blk + Reb - FGms -.50*FTms - 1.25*TO - .81*PF)) My own weights are...
3323
Mike G
mikel_ind
Mar 7, 2004 1:09 pm
Part 2 Here are players I'd rank among the top 50 that Joe didn't rank so highly: Carter,Vince SF Tor Billups,Chauncey PG Det Francis,Steve PG Hou ...
3324
Joe
myviewonthis
Mar 7, 2004 10:06 pm
... (reply: i will consider adjusting upwards to incorporate credit for uncounted initimidations. my original thinking was based on about 20- 30% of blocks go...
3325
Joe
myviewonthis
Mar 7, 2004 10:32 pm
i am updating my performance ranking to reflect new weights on asists, blocks and fouls. i will do it per 36 minutes to reflect variation in time on court. i...
rev pr is the revised performance rating rev rank is the revised performance rank shaq moves up to #4 in regular season calculation. top 5 is close to the same...
3328
Joe
myviewonthis
Mar 8, 2004 1:08 am
league average according to team data at 82gaes is 88.55. highest is 92. lowest is 85. possesion spread is +/- a little less than 4% each way. performance...
3329
Joe
myviewonthis
Mar 8, 2004 2:11 am
... new performance ratings revised to incorporate most of your feedback. all these guys yield higher rating numbers, especially billups, ginobili and arroyo....
3330
Joe
myviewonthis
Mar 8, 2004 2:40 am
i would nominate iverson as most overated. but the new formula puts him at about the 11th best guard behind mcgrady, bryant, redd, allen, kidd, finley,...
