These ratings use a pythagorean approximation (exponent 14), with offensive & defensive ratings adjusted as follows: ORate = Base ORate * Opp. Opp. ORate /...
I want to look back at the players who have been drafted over the past ten years or so, and wanted to find out if there was a good site or resource to find...
Mine isn't the only version of a Versatility Index. But it goes like this: V = (Sco*(Reb+Blk)*(Ast+Stl)) ^ .5 That is, the square root of (scoring x bigman...
Garnett is averaging over 24 pts, 14 reb, and 5 assists. Who else has gone thru a season with those averages? Pts. Reb. Ast 34.8 19.8 5.1 Elgin Baylor 1961 ...
I started this last year, but decided to wait and see how the Wizards/ex-teammates would do this year. Done waiting, I started over. The method is to compare...
... As both an athlete and a statistician, it is nice to know that "athletes may play like statisticians". The article is a bit of a stretch, however, because...
This article, from the NYTimes, covers some interesting topics but tends to jumble them. The main theme is that human beings may instinctively follow Bayes'...
For players who've increased their per-minute production -- and especially those who have increased their minutes -- I've estimated their production...
There's the record number of consecutive first-round playoff losses. There's the steady ascendency of Kevin Garnett to alltime greatness. Now come Sam Cassell...
Just a quick time waster :) I was thinking that one of the most important reasons to apply analytical techniques to basketball is to try to test and train...
From all the recent posts on the value of assists, I gathered that the one untracked stat that would answer a lot of questions is "potential assists" -- i.e....
...of the Sonics had the strangest line of the night, and one of the weirdest I've ever seen: 17 min, 2 pts, 0 reb, 1 PF, 10 blocks. This from a guy whose...
Sorry - off topic - quick question for DeanO (since I can't find his email at the moment at work). Did you play with a guy named Tom Creath (sp?) at Cal Tech?...
Ed wrote: [Probability of Making a Shot Conditioned on the Outcome of Previous Shots for Nine Members of the Philadelphia 76ers] Here I've taken the liberty of...
I wonder if there is a correlation between the presence of a shot blocker and the number of long range shots taken by the opposing team- -the presumption being...
I'm not expecting anyone to comment on this, but while going through tonight's box scores, I noticed that Denver's Marcus Camby had one of those 5x5 games that...
I just joined this group so apologies if the following throughts are old news. ... I've been trying to think of a good way to measure the value of an assist ...
we've just published the first part of a study on offensive rebounds, eg likelihood of getting an offensive rebound by situation, FG% on follow up shots, etc...
looked him up. I see that he was a very well-respected Stanford professor of psychology who passed away 7 years ago. I understand that he enjoyed watching NBA...
anyone looking at the Sacramento Kings this year might wonder how they could be doing so well without chris webber. brad miller has been a very nice addition,...
When you state "multivariate regression" I assume you mean one dependent variable with multiple explanatory variables. Correct? That is "multiple regression"....
These individual ratings are based on Dean Oliver's formulas for individual offensive and defensive ratings. The only change I made was to adjust for schedule...
Many NBA players who get recognized for scoring alot of points, also shoot a very low field goal percentage. At what point does this type of player, actually...
Happy New Year to everyone, and here's to some happy 2004 NBA moments! Just ran some clutch shooting analysis and among notable players, Kirilenko's...
Example: Your team averages a field goal percentage of 40% and the league free throw percentage average is 75% (for sake of argument). Player A, goes 12 of 30...
... Actually, Tversky's research on this was rather flawed, as pointed out by Bob Wardrop in his technical report (thanks for the link, Ed). I know Bob as our...
Football is elegantly complex. I love the studies of sports that show that, while it may be the most brutal of many sports, football is also the one that...