To start off the group, I think that it is most appropriate to identify some of the outstanding questions in basketball. These are topics that would be...
2
Dean Oliver
deano@...
Feb 11, 2001 5:47 pm
When a defense opts to leave a man open, how much do they improve a player's shooting? The three-point shootout provides a way to look at this because we can...
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Dean Oliver
deano@...
Feb 12, 2001 6:57 am
I missed the game, but it looked like a sloppy thing in the numbers. I have attached calculated numbers for the game, a bunch of the calculations, including ...
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harlanzo@...
Feb 13, 2001 1:37 am
There has been a lot of speculation as to whether and how NBA scoring should be increased. With regards to the first question, I don't think and increase in...
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Dean Oliver
deano@...
Feb 13, 2001 4:43 am
... Harlanzo suggested a few changes to "make the game entertaining and watchable." One at a time... ... I've seen it enforced, but not since early in the...
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bchaikin@...
Feb 13, 2001 6:51 am
harlan - needless to say your email was both a breath of fresh air and a pleasure to read. i've known what you have surmised for quite some time now (most of...
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Dean Oliver
deano@...
Feb 13, 2001 3:50 pm
... numbers ... keep today ... What's your take on why it gets slower in the playoffs? I've noticed this, too. ... reason ... Pace is the biggest reason....
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Gary Collard
garyc@...
Feb 13, 2001 10:50 pm
... The data's not available I suspect, but shooting percentage by time left on the clock might be instructive. 14-24 are probably pretty good, because these...
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Dean Oliver
deano@...
Feb 14, 2001 12:47 am
... left on ... because ... it mighe ... see if ... I've never seen these data (maybe Harvey Pollack has it?). I'm going to a HS game tonight and I'll track...
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Dean Oliver
deano@...
Feb 14, 2001 7:09 am
Attached is a spreadsheet showing how teams did against the shot clock. I looked only at 1 game -- Minnesota at Cleveland, 2/1/01. (Random game) 1 game does...
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NYFan@...
Feb 14, 2001 7:18 am
A reason why teams may score fairly effeciently with so little time left may be human nature. Often you will see that when instincts are in control, people...
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Gary Collard
garyc@...
Feb 14, 2001 8:25 pm
A couple of the local talk radio guys here in Dallas were debating the merits (or lack thereof) of Shawn Bradley this morning. The pro-Bradley guy noted that...
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Dean Oliver
deano@...
Feb 14, 2001 9:17 pm
... the ... pro-Bradley ... close ... done some ... it is ... the ... Harvey Pollack records this annually (does anyone know how to get his book?). I have...
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Dean Oliver
deano@...
Feb 15, 2001 4:07 am
I want to provide a reference for some of the methods available for analyzing individual players. These include q Dave Heeren's TENDEX rating q Doug Steele's...
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bchaikin@...
Feb 15, 2001 4:22 am
it is this man's opinion that the +/- ratio, especially in basketball, is for all intent and purposes a useless statistic. there has been a yearning by many...
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Dean Oliver
deano@...
Feb 15, 2001 4:24 am
Only through January 5 games, this is what I have for Dallas... Dal Players Win% W L NetPts/48min Nowitzki, Dirk 0.929 5.5 0.4 3.6 Finley, Michael 0.433 2.9...
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bchaikin@...
Feb 15, 2001 4:55 am
dean - thanks for the positive writeup... all the questions you asked about the B-BALL software concerning examining player strategies is exactly how i used...
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NYFan@...
Feb 15, 2001 6:34 am
I personally agree with your philosophy on the +/- being a useless stat. But I disagree on assist/turnover. What you have yet to find is how to interpet that...
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Dean Oliver
deano@...
Feb 16, 2001 5:45 am
One of my big goals this year has been to track individual defense a bit more. I've particularly done this for my local Warriors, who don't play much defense...
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Dean Oliver
deano@...
Feb 22, 2001 2:37 pm
Following message 10, the distribution of offensive ratings as a function of time left on the clock (through 3 games) -- t left Scores PossExt EndPoss Pts Rtg ...
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Dean Oliver
deano@...
Feb 22, 2001 2:45 pm
There are a lot of methods for predicting games out there. Probably the best is just Vegas' line. I posted a method at ...
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John Grasso
johng@...
Feb 22, 2001 2:52 pm
Has anyone ever calculated a very basic simple stat - games won and lost by player? This can be done in one of several ways - - games won by player's team...
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Dean Oliver
deano@...
Feb 22, 2001 3:33 pm
... lost by ... I have done all but the 3rd option before. I've never put together much of a study other than one section of this article: ...
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Dean Oliver
deano@...
Feb 23, 2001 2:38 am
Five years ago, I did a simple study to look at the effect of draft picks on their new teams. http://www.tsoft.com/~deano/articles/youth.html Under the APBR...
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msg_53@...
Feb 28, 2001 3:23 pm
The point has been made that NBA shooting has gone down since the mid- 80s, and I wonder if there is a correlation with another trend: it seems there is a...
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Dean Oliver
deano@...
Mar 4, 2001 6:15 pm
... mid- ... Adrian ... show. ... is ... It's tough to make this case without looking a bit more carefully, I think. Do individual players show declining...
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harlanzo@...
Mar 8, 2001 3:16 am
I see things on the site have slowed down of late so I thought I would pose a less scientific question than most that are wrestled with on this site. The...
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bchaikin@...
Mar 8, 2001 1:47 pm
harlan - using the online historical basketball stats database at the APBR website, you can compare KJ vs. Kidd in a number of categories, including per game...
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msg_53@...
Mar 8, 2001 3:00 pm
... thought ... he ... statistical ... must ... I have been looking for an occasion to present an example of my analysis technique. Kidd vs. KJ will do just...
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Dean Oliver
deano@...
Mar 8, 2001 3:48 pm
... I've personally had to work on other basketball tasks as well as real work. ... thought ... he ... Opinion first -- KJ was generally a better offensive...
